#Polymarket

The number landed like a cold splash of data on a hot geopolitical floor: 8.5...

I saw the headline flash across my screen just after midnight Amsterdam time:...

Contrary to the euphoric belief that blockchain-based prediction markets are...

A trader I know in Lagos has been staring at Polymarket's 'US military action...

The code didn't lie. Polymarket’s contract “BTC hits $200k by 2026” settled a...

Imagine a room full of traders, each betting real money on whether the sky ov...

The market doesn't lie. It just takes its time to tell the truth. On May 20,...

The ledger remembers what the code tries to hide. On a quiet Tuesday afternoo...

On July 14, 2024, a panelist on Polymarket placed a $1.2M bet that Iran would...

Hook Polymarket contract "Russia controls Sloviansk before 2027" is priced at...

The chart just broke. 13.5% probability on Polymarket for the Strait of Holmu...

Hook A single prediction market contract on Polymarket is screaming something...

Hook On December 18, 2022, at 14:23 UTC, a wallet ending in 9f4e withdrew...

On-Chain Prediction Market Spikes to 57%: Is Polymarket Pricing in a US-Iran...

The chart spiked before the coffee cooled. At 3:47 AM HCMC time, the Polymark...

On the morning of May 12, 2026, a single data point crossed my terminal: the...

Polymarket’s market share just dropped from 35.8% to 30.2% in one quarter....

Paris, 23:00 CET. Mike Maignan picks the ball out of the net for the sixth...

Polymarket’s “Iran Airspace Closure by August 31” contract sits at 50.5% YES....

The number landed on my screen with the cold finality of a terminal output: 2...

Mapping the chaos to find the signal in the noise. A single data point. 99.9%...

The data shows the Crypto Clarity Act's passing probability dropped from 70% ...

A prediction market on Polymarket claims there is a 99.9% probability that...

The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been negative for 60 consecutive days....

A crypto-native news outlet publishes a straightforward prediction about a...

Beneath the baroque facade of Polymarket's interface, a quieter ledger bleeds...

The clock struck 14:23 UTC on a Tuesday. Coinbase's prediction market went...

The curve bends, but the logic holds firm. On the night of Ronaldo's final...

Hook In the final 20 minutes of the Argentina-France World Cup 2022 final, th...

The US Men's National Team (USMNT) exited the World Cup again, triggering an...

We didn’t see this coming—not from the sheriffs, and certainly not from the...

Within 15 minutes of a leak from German football sources, the implied...

At block 18,342,109 on Ethereum, the Polymarket contract for the...

The code didn't cheer. On December 14, 2022, a single wallet proved itself th...

The silence from Polymarket about the compromised vendor is louder than the...

The number itself is intoxicating. $1.95 billion in open interest. Prediction...

Over the past seven days, Allium's on-chain data dropped a bomb that every...